An awful start to 2008, an awful day yesterday and an awful start to trading this morning. As I write at 9.00am, the FTSE100 is down 1% at 5960. Although the FTSE100 closed <6000 for one fateful day in Aug 07, you really have to track back the trend line back to Oct 06.
There is a wide-spread belief that tech has been hit hardest. But, in the UK at least, the figures don't support that. Techmark is down 4.3% in 2008 to date compared to a 6.7% fall (to last night) in the FTSE100. The FTSE SCS Index is down 7.4%.
However, US tech stocks have been hit hard with NASDAQ down 8.9% YTD. There is every expectation of further US falls today as Intel fell around 15% in after hours trading last night. See Intel shares slide as profits and sales miss targets in today's FT. Actually, I thought the Intel results were pretty good. But it is almost as if investors want to find reasons for selling/marking stock down. So every nuance is picked over. In Intel's case a Q4 £100m revenue shortfall (on a $10.8b analyst expectation!) was taken as a sign of slowing PC sales and 'troubles ahead'.
My problem is that I am firmly in the bear's camp - have been for some time as readers will know. I do see problems ahead and 'commodity PC' sales would be the first and hardest hit. But I really can't find the evidence for that in Intel's statement. But investors rarely let evidence get in the way of sentiment.
Wednesday, 16 January 2008
FTSE100 dips below 6000
Posted by Richard Holway at 08:44
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